On January 14, the China Automobile Association released data on new domestic vehicle production and sales in December and 2018. It shows that in the past 12 months, the new car production and sales volume in the Chinese market was 2,482,200 and 2,661,500 respectively, of which the output decreased by 0.65% from the previous month and decreased by 18.39%, while the sales volume increased by 4.46% compared with that in November. However, compared with the same period in 2017, the decline was 13.03%. In the whole year of 2018, China's new car production and sales totaled 27.0902 million and 2,808,600 respectively, down 4.16% and 2.76% respectively. Although it ranked first in the world for ten consecutive years, its sales volume was the first annual decline since 1990.
Source: China Automobile Association (unit: 10,000 vehicles, %)
Passenger cars: the four major segments of the market fell across the board, the biggest decline in MPV
In December, domestic passenger car production was 2.0546 million units, down 3.22% from the previous month and down 21.27% year-on-year; sales reached 2,233,100 units, up 2.74% from the previous month and down 15.84% from the same period last year. In the main varieties of passenger cars - cars, SUVs, MPVs and crossover passenger cars, the output was better than MPV and crossover passenger cars in November, achieving 15.8% and 44.5% growth respectively, but Compared with the same period of last year, the four major segments showed a different decline, with SUV falling the most, reaching 26.4%. In terms of sales volume, the car only showed a 4.4% decline in November, and compared with the same period in 2017, it was the same as the whole line, and the MPV fell the most, reaching 22.9%, followed by SUVs and cars.
Specifically, the production and sales of domestic cars in December were 1,095,500 and 1,208,500, respectively, down 4.07% and 4.44% from the previous month, and the year-on-year decline was even greater, reaching 17.93% and 14.30% respectively. The production and sales of new SUV vehicles were 835,300 and 981,600 respectively, of which the output decreased by 6.84%, which was a year-on-year decrease of 26.4%. The sales volume increased by 8%, but the year-on-year decline was still 16.3%. . The production and sales of MPV were 167,700 and 176,200 respectively, up 15.83% and 17.46% respectively, down 15.87% and 22.85% respectively. The production and sales of cross-type passenger cars were 42,100 and 46,800 respectively, up by 44.52% and 22.19% respectively, down 7.69% and 9.65% respectively.
From January to December, the production and sales of passenger cars were 2,352,400 and 23,790,800 respectively, down 5.15% and 4.08% respectively. Among them, the cumulative production and sales of cars reached 11.465 million and 115.728 million, respectively, down 3.95% and 2.70% respectively. The cumulative production and sales of SUVs were 9,958,600 and 9,994,700, respectively, down 3.19% and 2.52% respectively. The total production and sales of MPV were 1,684,900 and 1,734,600, respectively, down 17.87% and 16.22% respectively. The cumulative production and sales of cross-type passenger vehicles reached 420,100 and 452,600 respectively, down 20.75% and 17.26% respectively. It can be seen that the sharp decline in the production and sales of MPV and the slowdown in the growth rate of cars and SUVs have a certain impact on the overall situation.
In terms of sub-systems, the total sales of Chinese brand passenger cars in December was 796,600 units, an increase of 7.66% from the previous month and a decrease of 24.27% from the same period of last year, accounting for 43.87% of the total sales of passenger vehicles. German, Japanese, American, Korean and French passenger cars sold 441,500, 415,000, 201,000, 160,100 and 15,900, respectively, accounting for 19.77% of the total sales of passenger cars. 18.58%, 8.96%, 7.17%, and 0.71%. Compared with November, sales of Korean brands have increased rapidly, and other foreign brands have declined.
From January to December, the total sales volume of Chinese brand passenger vehicles was 9,997,900 units, a year-on-year decrease of 7.99%, accounting for 42.09% of the total sales of passenger vehicles. The top ten car companies in sales are: SAIC, Geely, Changan, Dongfeng, Beiqi, Great Wall, Chery, FAW, GAC and BYD. Compared with the same period of 2017, sales of BYD, Geely and Chery grew at a faster rate. The growth rate of SAIC and GAC was slightly lower. The other five companies all showed a certain decline, and the decline of Dongfeng and Beiqi was relatively large.
The German, Japanese, American, Korean and French passenger cars sold a total of 5.0085 million, 4,446,300, 2,477,900, 1,180,500 and 30.7 million, respectively, accounting for the total sales of passenger vehicles. 21.43%, 18.75%, 10.45%, 4.98%, and 1.29%. Compared with 2017, sales of German, Japanese and Korean brands increased slightly, and the US and French systems declined significantly.
Source: China Automobile Association (unit: 10,000 vehicles, %)
Commercial vehicles: the growth of production and sales of trucks is obvious.
In terms of commercial vehicles, the cumulative production in December was 427,500 units, a year-on-year increase of 13.88%, down 0.98% year-on-year; sales of 427,400 units, up 14.43% from the previous month and up 5.24% year-on-year. Among the main varieties of commercial vehicles, in terms of output, both trucks and buses showed a certain growth in December, but compared with the same period in 2017, passenger cars showed a significant decline, with a range of 7%, while trucks continued to maintain. 2.9 percent growth. In terms of sales volume, both trucks and buses showed a significant increase in December, especially for passenger cars, which increased by 34.9%. However, compared with the same period in 2017, the increase in trucks was more obvious. On the contrary, passenger cars showed a 8.0% decline. .
Specific to the two major market segments, in the past December, the production and sales of new vehicles were 374,200 and 363,600, respectively, up 15.70% and 11.42% from the previous month, up 2.55% and 9.60% respectively. Among them, the production and sales of heavy-duty trucks in December were 98,500 and 82,500 respectively. The production and sales volume of medium-sized trucks were 14,700 and 14,300 respectively. The production and sales of light-duty trucks were 196,800 and 197,500 respectively. The production and sales of mini-trucks reached 64,100 respectively. And 69,300 vehicles.
The production and sales of new cars in December were 53,400 and 64,800 respectively, up by 2.54% and 34.92% respectively, down by 20.19% and 13.93% respectively. Among them, the production and sales of large passenger cars in December were 10.9 million and 12,300 respectively. The production and sales of medium-sized buses were 10,500 and 12,800 respectively. The production and sales of light buses were 3,200 and 39,800 respectively.
From January to December, the total production and sales of commercial vehicles were 4,278,000 and 437,800, respectively, up 1.69% and 5.05% respectively. Among them, the total production and sales of trucks reached 3.79 million and 3,985,600 respectively, up 2.93% and 6.94% respectively. Among them, the production and sales of heavy-duty trucks in 2001 were 1,112,400 and 1,147,900, respectively. The production and sales of medium-sized trucks were 172,600 and 172,200 respectively. The production and sales of light-duty trucks were 1,787,800 and 1,895,500 respectively. The production and sales of mini-trucks were 620,800 and 666,600 respectively. Car. It can be seen that light trucks and minivans are the main reasons for the increase in total truck sales last year.
The cumulative total production and sales of passenger cars were 489,100 and 485,200, down 7.03% and 7.98% year-on-year. Among them, the production and sales of large passenger cars were 78,100 and 77,000 respectively, the production and sales of medium-sized buses were 75,000 and 73,600 respectively, and the production and sales of light buses were 335,900 and 334,600 respectively. Compared with the same period in 2017, the total production and sales of these three major models in 2018 have experienced different declines. Among them, the largest drop of passenger cars is the most obvious, followed by medium-sized buses and light buses.
The China Automobile Association pointed out that China's auto industry will face greater pressure in 2018. The growth rate of production and sales is lower than expected at the beginning of the year. The growth rate of major economic efficiency indicators of the industry has slowed down and the growth rate has declined. The reasons for the analysis are, on the one hand, the impact of the full exit of the preferential tax policy for purchases; on the other hand, the impact of factors such as the slowdown in macroeconomic growth, the Sino-US trade war, and consumer confidence, which still faces greater problems in the short term. pressure. However, from another perspective, China's auto industry is still in the period of popularization, and there is still room for growth.
Among them, for the China Automobile Association in 2019, the sales volume of Chinese cars is about 28.1 million, which is basically the same as in 2018. Among them, passenger cars are expected to sell about 23.7 million, which is the same as 2018; commercial vehicles are expected to sell about 4.4 million, an increase of about 1%. In addition, the China Automobile Association expects to sell about 1.6 million new energy vehicles in 2019, an increase of about 30% year-on-year. Automobile exports are expected to reach about 1 million units, which is basically the same as in 2018.
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